Reassessing Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score on Non-Contrast CT Based on Degree and Extent of Ischemia
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Dear Sir:
The Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score (ASPECTS) is an ordered categorical scale that divides the middle cerebral artery territory into 10 anatomic regions. Acute stroke treatment guidelines do not recommend endovascular treatment (EVT) in acute ischemic stroke patients with ASPECTS <6, although they may benefit from it [1]. Of note, the prognosis of patients with the same ASPECTS scores may differ from each other based on how severe and extensive ischemic findings are in each ASPECTS region. This hypothesis was tested in the control arm of the Safety and Efficacy of Nerinetide in Subjects Undergoing Endovascular Thrombectomy for Stroke (ESCAPE-NA1) trial (Supplementary material) [2].
After scoring conventional ASPECTS by an independent core lab by consensus, each ASPECTS region was reassessed in a second, independent consensus reading session based on the degree and extent of hypodensity (see also Supplementary Figure 1) [3,4] Hereby, a full point was subtracted from an initial value of 10 points for regions that were (1) clearly hypodense or (2) affected in large parts (>2/3rd on visual assessment, Figure 1A). Half a point was subtracted for regions with (1) subtle hypodensity (Figure 1B) or (2) partial affection (≤2/3rd on visual assessment, Figure 1C). Scoring reassessed ASPECTS took on average 1 to 2 minutes per patient.
Correlation between conventional ASPECTS and reassessed ASPECTS was evaluated with Spearman’s ρ and limits of agreement were visualized in a Bland-Altman plot. Percentage of good outcome (modified Rankin Score 0 to 2 at 90 days) of patients within each conventional ASPECTS category with reassessed ASPECTS >conventional ASPECTS versus those with reassessed ASPECTS ≤conventional ASPECTS were reported. Logistic regression was used to compare conventional and reassessed ASPECTS using the C-statistic, Akaike and Bayesian information criterion (AIC, BIC). Inter-reader agreement was determined with the intraclass correlation-coefficient.
For baseline characteristics of the study sample, see Supplementary Table 1. On average, reassessed ASPECTS (median, 9 [interquartile range, 8.5 to 10]) was higher than conventional ASPECTS (median, 8 [interquartile range, 7 to 9]; P<0.0001). Patients with low conventional ASPECTS had low reassessed ASPECTS and vice versa (Spearman’s ρ=0.524, P<0.001) (Figure 2A). The relative mean difference of reassessed and conventional ASPECTS was 1.2 points (limits of agreement –1.5 to 3.9) (Figure 2B). Percentage of good outcome within each conventional ASPECTS score of patients with reassessed ASPECTS >conventional ASPECTS was on average higher versus those with reassessed ASPECTS ≤conventional ASPECTS (Supplementary Figure 2). Both conventional and reassessed ASPECTS were associated with good outcome, the C-statistic was nominally but not significantly higher (as the 95% confidence interval [CI] overlapped) and AIC and BIC lower for the model that included reassessed ASPECTS (Table 1). Interrater reliability for reassessed ASPECTS was poor to moderate (intraclass correlation-coefficient=0.578; 95% CI, 0.316 to 0.779).
Our analysis shows that a more nuanced assessment of the degree and extent of ischemia on non-contrast CT in patients with acute ischemic stroke could potentially improve the validity of ASPECTS compared to current convention. Interrater reliability however, when reassessing ASPECTS is modest and lower than for conventional ASPECTS.
Reassessing ASPECTS led to a recalibration towards higher scores, particularly in patients with more extensive ischemic changes (Figure 2), suggesting that ASPECTS in its current form may be overestimating ischemic changes. The fact that patients in our analysis who had higher reassessed ASPECTS than conventional ASPECTS had, on average, better outcomes than those with reassessed ASPECTS ≤conventional ASPECTS supports this argument. However, even among patients with ASPECTS 6, who were downgraded to a lower score after reassessment, 1/3rd achieved a good outcome (Supplementary Figure 2). The several ongoing low ASPECTS EVT trials will hopefully provide more evidentiary support for a more differentiated ASPECTS assessment for stroke prognostication and treatment selection [5].
This study has several limitations, First, ESCAPE-NA1 included only patients with baseline conventional ASPECTS 5–10, thereby setting an “artificial” lower ASPECTS boundary. Second, introducing further nuance into assessment of early ischemic changes at a region level risks reducing reliability of assessment. Larger studies assessing within and between reader reliability would be needed to assess the true value of ASPECTS reassessment. That being said, we reassessed ASPECTS as a means to investigate imaging in more detail, but we do not foresee our methodology to be adopted in clinical routine.
In conclusion, interpretation of ASPECTS in patients with acute ischemic stroke in the modern era may benefit from a more nuanced approach.
The study was approved by the local ethics board at the University of Calgary.
Supplementary materials
Supplementary materials related to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.5853/jos.2021.00458.
Acknowledgements
Bijoy K. Menon holds a patent on systems of triage in acute stroke, and stock ownership in Circle Neurovascular Inc. Mayank Goyal is a consultant for Medtronic, Stryker, Microvention, GE Healthcare, Mentice. Michael D. Hill reports grants from CIHR during the conduct of the study; grants from Medtronic and grants from NoNO Inc. outside the submitted work; in addition, he has a patent to US Patent office Number: 62/086,077 issued and licensed; and Director, Board of Circle Neurovascular Director, Board of the Canadian Neuroscience Federation Director, Board of the Canadian Stroke Consortium. The remaining authors have nothing to disclose.